This blog from John Quarto-vonTivadar is the first part of a two part series which examines many of the problems encountered when using metrics in evaluation and is particularly focused on what the writer terms, 'self-delusion'.
" [H]ere are eight common ways we unconsciously self-deceive using stats, ignorance, bad logic, or other wily human tricks. I’ll present them as encouragements − makes them funnier that way − so you can recognize when they might occur and be prepared to challenge yourself.
To encourage your own self-deception, it helps if you let yourself:
- #1: Be Innumerate
- #2: Start With your Wished-For Outcome… Then Look For Supporting Proof
- #3: Take Credit For Forces Beyond Your Control
- #4 Settle for Industry Averages"