The program theory may predict the timing of outcomes. If so, the evaluator can check against these dates with the dates of actual changes and outcomes. This is another way of checking the results support causal attribution.
Advice for CHOOSING this option (tips and traps)
- Take account of predicted timing of outcomes from the original project design.
Advice for USING this option (tips and traps)
- Consider other major changes - outside of the scope of the project - that may have effected the timing of results. Consider non-linear relationships and threshold effects between project activities and timing of results.
- Provide the evaluator with relevant project documentation - including the project theory and any predictions of the timing of results.
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