This paper outlines the Delphi forecasting method and its use in collecting, aggregating, and analysing inputs from a panel of global experts on renewable energy (RE).
The resource describes how a panel of global experts on RE was convened to anticipate the major opportunities and challenges facing the scaling of RE to meet sustainable development and climate goals. During this Delphi process their views and perceptions were analysed.
- The Delphi panel helped contextualize the future of rapidly evolving RE markets, against which the World Bank Group's readiness to help clients could be assessed.
- The Delphi panel also identified critical barriers that were triangulated with results from other methods to chart a pathway for scaling up RE.
Jayawardena, M., Heijndermans, E., West Meiers, M., Watkins, R., Butscher, J., Feng, S. & Berrah, N. (2022). Delphi Technique: How Expert Panels Predict Emerging Opportunities and Challenges in Renewable Energy. IEG Methods and Evaluation Capacity Development Working Paper Series. Independent Evaluation Group. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/sites/default/files/Data/Evaluation/files/Methods_Delphi.pdf
These resources are part of the IEG methods papers series.
'Delphi technique: Predicting emerging opportunities and challenges in renewable energy' is referenced in: